US Might be in the Wrong
Consider what happened in 2016. The Navy apparently has a policy of running right up to the very edge of Iran’s marine borders, and sometimes messes up and strays across them. If the latter happens, Iran is completely within its right under international law to deal with the intruders, like it or not.
Beware of Bolton
He’s a first-class, grade A, number one warmonger. Trump probably doesn’t want war with Iran but Bolton probably does.
This is Only to be Expected
- Trump is dishonest, incompetent, and incoherent; he’s the last sort of leader anyone would want to manage a war. Iran knows this.
- Trump has done virtually everything within his power to alienate Europe from the USA, which further weakens the US’s hand in any conflict (fewer allies). Iran knows this, too.
- Tearing up the Iran nuclear deal taught Iran that deals with the West are pointless exercises.
- Not attacking North Korea (which had nukes even then) after 9/11, while attacking Iraq (which didn’t), taught Iran that possessing a nuclear deterrent is a good idea.