Dear Europe: Put Up or Shut Up

Published at 08:22 on 20 January 2026

You promise an unflinching and united response should Trump decide to seize Greenland by force. Soon you will have to deliver one.

Because of course you will. Trump’s entire life, starting as a small child born into extreme wealth and privilege, has taught him that in a bourgeois society all men are not created equal, and that the children of privilege like himself can personally profit by being a liar, a bully, a cheat, and an overall scoundrel. And he has profited like few men in history have.

His entire life has taught him that he can seize Greenland and not only get away with it, but personally profit from it. So of course he will at least make a serious attempt at it. No other course of action is even remotely plausible. Sorry.

At that point, it becomes up to Europe to put up or shut up. If they choose the former, there is a chance — actually a fairly good chance — of engaging TACO mode, much like China did in response to Trump’s tariffs.

If they choose the latter, kiss Greenland goodbye. And then Canada comes next.

And you can spare me any thought of pushback from Republicans stopping this internally before the Europeans have to stop it externally. Rule No. 1 violation. Not gonna happen.

The world let Trump get away with Venezuela, and the lesson Trump took from this is that he can get away with subjugating Denmark and Greenland, too.

The proper reaction to what Trump did to Maduro would have been something along the lines of what Churchill alluded to when he once said, “If Hitler invaded hell I would make at least a favourable reference to the devil in the House of Commons.” But for the most part that didn’t happen so here we are.

Maybe it will matter more this time. Greenland is full of brown people but Denmark as a whole is a first-world country full of white people, so if it matters more this time, that, and not any lofty principles about national sovereignty, will be the real reason behind it all. But we have to take our resistance to fascism however we find it; it is an imperfect world.

Carney Does the Obvious Thing

Published at 06:34 on 16 January 2026

And this is fundamentally the reason why.

It was the correct decision in the overall context, as difficult as China’s dismal human rights record makes it. At least China can reasonably be expected to follow through on the deals it cuts, which is more than one can say for Trump’s USA. And it is not China that has been threatening to annex Canada.

Now the question is how the fascist regime south of the border takes the news of the obvious consequences of their behaviour.

A Blue Wave? Maybe Not

Published at 08:56 on 14 December 2025

Yes, I know that Trump is not exactly doing too hot in the polls right now. Political strategist Rick Wilson is positively giddy about it.

I have argued recently that a blue wave or two is likely to be significantly less consequential, in the long run, than many people think. Now I wish to argue that the hypothetical blue wave might not happen at all.

The reason is simple: war. Americans are, on the whole, an astonishingly ignorant people when it comes to foreign policy. This ignorance is no accident; Establishment politics has carefully tended and nurtured it for many decades. All the better to help prevent democratic accountability from interfering with military adventurism. It is one of the natural consequences of being a superpower, and a key reason why superpower status is a threat to free society.

Any administration that starts a war historically gets an incredible amount of deferential treatment from the mainstream media, the purported opposition party (both parties are united in their support for empire), and the populace as a whole. Do not think for a minute that this cannot apply to a war against Venezuela.

Maybe it won’t. We’re not that far past getting burned by the consequences of past deferential treatment for wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. Maybe this one will come too soon on the heels of the earlier ones.

But don’t be too sure about that. It is at least as plausible that Trump will succeed in selling his Venezuela war. The authoritarian regime that runs Venezuela is not precisely the sort of government to inspire sympathy. Advocates of war will be able to paint opponents of war as Maduro allies or sympathizers, a characterization made all the easier by the shameful reality that it is not very hard to find American leftists that are allies or sympathizers of the Maduro regime. The Establishment media, already in many cases cravenly capitulating to Trump, could very easily once more assume its historic role as propagandists for the ruling class’ latest war of choice.

If this happens, Trump could easily prevail in the next few electoral cycles. I am quite sure, in fact, that this is a huge part of why Trump seems eager for a war with Venezuela. I will give the man credit for one thing: he knows advanced state of moral decline of the nation he leads better than virtually anyone else in the halls of power, and he has used this knowledge to become what is already one of the most successful, effective, and consequential presidents in U.S. history.

Yes, successful and effective. He has made more change, more quickly, than any president since FDR and quite possibly any since Lincoln. It is now part of established political precedent that U.S. presidents may incite coups to attempt to stay in power, can lie about just about anything, can make law and policy by fiat with little or no input from Congress, engage in crass nepotism, receive bribes, and cannot and should not be held accountable under the law.

To assume that a war in Venezuela will fail to keep Trump in power is to assume a moral and informed American public that, by and large, simply does not exist. See Rule No. 3.

Finally

Published at 08:37 on 12 December 2025

One of the things that has been worrying me most about Canadian politics is the smug sense of complacency. There is just too much belief in the concept that being a separate country will somehow be a free ticket to escape many consequences of the ongoing transition to fascism south of the border.

In particular, I have been worried about the complacency on national defence. On the Left, I saw complacency about the mere need for defence. This is understandable, as military spending has often been sold under the guise of “defence” when in fact actual defence has little or nothing to do with it. On the Right, there is not so much problem with the very concept of defence, but there is a reluctance to see the USA having become the sort of threat it has actually become. This is also understandable, as acknowledging so means acknowledging no small amount of dirty laundry in the Right’s very own hamper.

That is why I find this to be extremely welcome news. Apparently the Canadian military has been quietly doing an honest assessment of the situation, and come to the obvious conclusion: that the cause of peace and freedom for Canada is now best served by pursuing a measure of military deterrence.

Better yet are the voices on the Left, such as Charlie Angus, who have traditionally been quite skeptical of military spending. Not so much any more, perhaps. Let’s hope so.

Armed struggle is indeed a highly unpleasant thing, but ultimately the world is complex and messy place that does not lend itself to any one simplistic rule (such as “war bad”). As John Stuart Mill once observed:

War is an ugly thing, but not the ugliest of things: the decayed and degraded state of moral and patriotic feeling which thinks that nothing is worth a war, is much worse. When a people are used as mere human instruments for firing cannon or thrusting bayonets, in the service and for the selfish purposes of a master, such war degrades a people. A war to protect other human beings against tyrannical injustice; a war to give victory to their own ideas of right and good, and which is their own war, carried on for an honest purpose by their free choice, — is often the means of their regeneration. A man who has nothing which he is willing to fight for, nothing which he cares more about than he does about his personal safety, is a miserable creature who has no chance of being free, unless made and kept so by the exertions of better men than himself. As long as justice and injustice have not terminated their ever-renewing fight for ascendancy in the affairs of mankind, human beings must be willing, when need is, to do battle for the one against the other.

But it doesn’t have to be so dramatic as that. As the old saying goes, Si vis pacem, para bellum. The best possible use of a fighting force is the use that does not involve any actual fighting; the mere presence of such a force can serve to detract a would-be evildoer and aggressor, by underscoring that the costs of evildoing and aggression are unlikely to be cheap.

And yes, this can work against a significantly more powerful opponent. First, you have the asymmetry of sacrifice: a people are generally willing to sacrifice more to preserve their own freedom than they are to subjugate someone else’s. Then, you have the asymmetry of mission: in order to succeed at conquering a country, the conquerer has to achieve complete control over the conquered. In order to succeed at resisting a conqueror, one needs to do far less; one needs merely to deny the conqueror that control.

Make it clear to Trump that a forcible annexation will be more trouble than it is worth, and Trump will likely forget about the idea (or at least repeatedly postpone it, which accomplishes the same thing). Appealing to a fascist’s sense of justice and humanity is both pointless and foolish, as fascists are lacking in both. Appealing to a fascist’s sense of what is best for his personal power and prestige, however, offers a very real chance of being a successful appeal. And this is not merely theoretical; Finland for many years pursued such policies with respect to the red fascism just to its east, and thereby preserved its independence.

If Canada makes it clear to American fascism that the cause of American fascism is best served by seeking some form of coexistence with a democratic Canada, coexistence it is likely to be, which is far better than being a fascist vassal state.

Revolution, Not Reform

Published at 10:09 on 2 December 2025

I really don’t think there can honestly be debate on these two options any more, not in the context of U.S. politics.

This is for the simple fact that this particular ship has already sailed. It is abundantly clear that the U.S. is already in the midst of a fascist revolution of sorts. The signs of revolutionary change are all over the place:

  • Imposing tariffs by fiat.
  • Courts, particularly the Supreme Court in its decision that presidents have basically unlimited authority, endorsing a dictatorial presidency.
  • Demolishing the East Wing of the White House with no public approval process and no advance notice, for the purpose of clearing the way for a giant ballroom funded by bribe money.
  • DOGE making massive, extra-legal changes to the Federal bureaucracy.
  • Denying the clear results of the 2020 election, and pardoning those involved in his coup attempt.
  • Politically-motivated pardons of corrupt officials.
  • ICE —
    • Extrajudicial detentions and deportations.
    • Ignoring court orders.
    • Masked secret agents.
    • Routine brutality.
    • Denying Representatives and Senators access and oversight.
    • Massive funding for more of the same (and worse) approved.
  • Politically-motivated retribution against law firms, universities, and news media who act contrary the regime’s wishes.
  • The capitalist class mostly falling in line behind the regime.
  • Extrajudicial killings on the high seas.
  • Refusing to spend duly-appropriated funds.
  • Spending funds without proper appropriation.
  • Purging military officials judged likely to be insufficiently subservient to the president and any unlawful orders he might issue.

Even many centre-right sources such are now saying it, or seriously implying it: Joe Walsh, Peter Wehner, and The Bulwark to name just three examples.

Yet, despite this, the fascists have not achieved total power. I recently moved this site out of the U.S.A., yes, but that move was anticipatory. There’s plenty of anti-regime material openly circulating in the U.S.A. This would not be the case in a totalitarian society.

It is also clear that Trump is not very popular. That’s just one poll, of course, but it’s a reliable one that has been conducted for decades, and other polls are saying the same thing. Plus you have the electoral backlash at the start of this month, which indicates that the signs in the polls are not just phantoms (and again, that such a backlash can occur is a sign the regime lacks total control).

Where this all goes is unclear. There have been some signs of an independent resistance, but the overall level of it has been nowhere near enough to force the needed changes.

It really seems that most opposed to Trump are pinning their hopes on a big blue wave in 2026 and again in 2028. Even if one is generous and assumes such waves come, an honest assessment will I believe conclude that it is highly unlikely to accomplish that much. This is, after all, the Democratic Party we are talking about (see Rule No. 2). It didn’t accomplish all that much the last time; the Biden years proved to be just a momentary pause in an overall march to fascism. Why should it prove any different the next time?

Yes, there are younger Democrats like A.O.C. who wish to do more, but the party as a whole is still firmly in the hands of an old guard that has proven itself to be more of a willing co-participant than an oppositional force when it comes to the ongoing transition to fascism. A massive none of the above opposition movement could force the Democrats’ hand in a useful way, but again, such a thing does not currently exist.

Until something changes, then, my general prognosis remains pessimistic.

The Trump/Mamdani “Surprise”

Published at 07:55 on 22 November 2025

Not sure how much of a surprise it was, though I expected them to be each others’ foils, too.

Perhaps Trump senses picking fights with Mamdani would be a losing game for him.

Perhaps Mamdani’s charisma won out. The guy is a natural-born politician: absolutely great at making people like him. It’s one of the reasons he won.

But, again, I am not sure just how much of a surprise this really is. That is because, despite all the rhetoric about the two being polar opposites, they are less so than many realize. Yes, they are on opposite ends of the left/right political spectrum, but that is only one way of classifying politicians.

They are both outsiders, disliked by their party’s established elites (though this is no longer the case for Trump, given that he now is one of his party’s established elites, it once was the case). They both appeal to some of the same crowds (in the wake of Mamdani’s surprise primary victory, polls indicated no small amount of Trump/Mamdani voters). They both play the populist game. They both are New Yorkers.

Yes, there are important differences despite all that. I am not saying they are two peas in a pod. I am just saying they are not the absolute diametric opposites they are often portrayed to be.

And this is the big problem with the whole “Trump is far right, and his victory shows the Democrats need to move to the right in response to the verdict of the recent election” line. Voters are not pundits, and do not think about politics like pundits do. It’s one of the things Rachael Bitecofer (not leftist by any means) harps on.

And yes, arguably this means that many voters are stunningly ignorant and misinformed. Cry harder. There is the electorate you might wish the USA had, and the one it actually has, and they are two distinct and different things. To paraphrase a famous ex-Secretary of Defense, elections are fought with the electorate we actually have, not the electorate we might wish to have. See also Rule No. 3.

Finally, this is how things stand with Trump and Mamdani right now. Wait a week (or even a day) and they might be quite different. This is Trump we are talking about, and Trump is famously unpredictable. They may well still turn out to be each others’ foils.

Status Report

Published at 07:00 on 8 November 2025

Have been pretty quiet here recently. That’s because I’m focusing on other stuff, namely, getting this site out of the USA. Currently it is hosted at a server farm in the San Francisco Bay Area, run by a US-based cloud hosting company. Soon it will be hosted at a server farm in Quebec, run by a France-based cloud hosting company.

Also, my domain names are in the process of being cut over from being hosted by a US-based registrar to a Canada-based one.

Given the rapid progress of democratic decline in the USA, and the political nature of much of what I post here, such measures are, I think, only prudent.

Newspapers and Magazines Are Not Timelines

Published at 07:45 on 2 November 2025

Time to clarify what I recently published here.

Per my recent definition, newspapers and magazines might appear to be timelines, but they are not. This is because all articles in a publication have a single source: the the individual (or typically) firm producing the publication. Everything goes through the same editorial team before it gets in. The information has been curated by humans.

The exception would be a publication with extremely lax (or no) editorial standards whatsoever, which simply publishes everything (or nearly everything) submitted to it. Those would be timelines.

This also explains why the posts of an individual social media account are not timelines, even though virtually all social media users repost content from others. Those reposts were still done by a human. The information has still been curated.

Thesis: Timelines Are Evil

Published at 07:41 on 31 October 2025

Before continuing, it is necessary to define what I mean by timeline in this article.

timeline, n. An online list of one-to-many communications from mixed sources.

So, Facebook’s infamous algorithmic timeline qualifies as a timeline, but so are its “feeds” of friends and groups. The chronological timelines of Bluesky and Mastodon are also timelines, and therefore also evil. An email account that is on one or more mailing lists is also a timeline, but an email account that is not subscribed to lists is not a timeline. If you log onto Facebook, the list of your friends is not a timeline, because that is a list of Facebook accounts, not communications from those accounts. If you click on a friend and view their posts, that is also not a timeline, because the contents come from a single source, not mixed sources. And so on.

Timelines are evil because of the time burden they impose. This is because of how computer technology makes it so easy to send information, coupled with how timelines often contain many senders of information, inevitably makes for very busy timelines.

Some very timeline-like things existed before the dawn of the Internet. Junk mail and junk phone calls turned physical mailboxes and telephones into such things. This is why so many people rightly found them objectionable.

Algorithmic timelines are more evil than strict chronological ones, because of the opaque nature of the criteria for ordering and selecting timeline contents, but even strict chronological timelines are evil.

The only thing that can make a timeline non-evil is sparse traffic, but due to information being so cheap and easy to send this can never reliably be the case. Evil is the natural state of most timelines, and even normally non-evil timelines will at times assume this state.

Timelines are the chief thing responsible for making people spend so much time online and disconnected from the real world that exists outside of cyberspace. Create a timeline for someone, and the fear of missing out on something important that might be buried in it leads them to spend unhealthy amounts of time online.

As such, timelines are probably responsible (or at least partly responsible) for much of the recent trend of politics and society getting worse, which is driven by organic and real-world interactions being replaced by time spent in cyberspace, based on opaque criteria, all the while being monitored and exploited by capitalists and politicians.

At least this is my current operating theory. I arrived at it as a result of struggling over why I spent so much time in front of computer screens, to the detriment of achieving other goals in my life. As such, I am now in the process of experimentally de-timelining my life.

The Hamas Hostages

Published at 11:14 on 29 October 2025

Hamas claims having trouble locating them. Israel claims Hamas is deliberately not releasing the bodies. Who is more believable?

In this particular situation, I think it is Hamas. Not because I like them (I don’t), but simply because the Hamas line jibes better with reality. Even the New York Times, hardly a pro-Hamas publication, states “devastation in the enclave complicates the retrieval of all remains.”

Because of course it would. Years of relentless bombing have pulverized Gaza. There is ample photographic evidence of this. So many bombs have been dropped in some areas that a significant part of the (in)famous network of tunnels Hamas excavated has no doubt collapsed. Those same tunnels were doubtless used by Hamas to hide some of their captives. Those bodies are now many meters underground. Even the captives held in buildings are going to be buried under several meters of rubble, if those buildings were bombed. And all of it happened in a chaotic war situation with hastily-planned last-minute moves, of which accurate records were almost certainly not kept (and even when records were kept, the damage from the attacks has in many cases destroyed them).

To expect prompt delivery of all remains is thus highly unrealistic. The Socialist Republic of Vietnam is still to this very day finding and repatriating remains of American servicemen who perished in a war that ended fifty years ago. For decades, there were endless conspiracy theories circulating that Vietnam was deliberately not returning bodies, or even still holding captives as prisoners of war, long after the Paris Peace Accords were signed and the conflict ended. None of these allegations have ever been substantiated.

Every war has its missing. There are missing servicemen from World War I that are still unaccounted for. The sad reality is that a few of these captives in Gaza will probably never have their bodies located and repatriated. (Yes, I know the Hamas captives were generally civilians and not combatants, but the general conditions that make their bodies hard to locate are fundamentally the same.)

Finally, Netanyahu benefits if there is a war going on. He’s not a very popular leader, and he has a lot of scandals to his name. Trump had to twist his arm almost to the point of breaking it in order to compel him to agree to a cease fire. Because of course he did. Netanyahu wants war. War is a distraction from his scandals and unpopularity. Even some normally very staid sources reluctant to criticize Israel have pointed this out. Israeli opposition figures point it out frequently.

So of course Netanyahu is going to demand the unrealistic and the impossible. It gives him a pretext to end the ceasefire and continue holding on to power.