{"id":972,"date":"2013-02-07T10:05:25","date_gmt":"2013-02-07T18:05:25","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=972"},"modified":"2013-02-07T10:06:48","modified_gmt":"2013-02-07T18:06:48","slug":"giving-giuliani-too-much-credit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=972","title":{"rendered":"Giving Giuliani Too Much Credit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The conventional wisdom is that Rudy Guiliani as mayor was responsible for turning around New York&#8217;s crime problem. Not so fast:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/crime_chart.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-973\" alt=\"crime_chart\" src=\"http:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/crime_chart.jpg\" width=\"600\" height=\"443\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/crime_chart.jpg 600w, https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/crime_chart-300x221.jpg 300w, https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/02\/crime_chart-406x300.jpg 406w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a>Giuliani took office in 1993, when the declining-crime trend was well underway. Crime rates were dropping rapidly when the much-maligned liberal David Dinkins was mayor, and had first started dropping when centrist Ed Koch (whose terms are off the left edge of the chart) was mayor.<\/p>\n<p>New York&#8217;s turnaround from its low point in the 1970s has been a long process which has spanned the terms in office of three mayors. Giving all the credit for it to Giuliani is like giving all the credit for building a house to the drywall hangers and painters.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, a big part of the decline in NYC and elsewhere has been simple demographics and not public policy at all: Statistically, young men are the most likely to commit crimes, and the US population has been aging, causing that demographic to represent a shrinking fraction of the nation&#8217;s population.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The conventional wisdom is that Rudy Guiliani as mayor was responsible for turning around New York&#8217;s crime problem. Not so fast: Giuliani took office in 1993, when the declining-crime trend was well underway. Crime rates were dropping rapidly when the much-maligned liberal David Dinkins was mayor, and had first started dropping when centrist Ed Koch [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/972\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}