{"id":6938,"date":"2026-06-19T11:55:42","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:55:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=6938"},"modified":"2026-06-19T11:55:42","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:55:42","slug":"u-s-liberals-have-no-idea-of-whats-about-to-hit-them","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=6938","title":{"rendered":"U.S. Liberals Have No Idea of What’s About to Hit Them"},"content":{"rendered":"

Most liberals are positively giddy about Trump’s current low numbers in the opinion polls and what that means for the coming midterms. In doing so, they overlook the reality of the current situation. They overlook the three rules<\/a>.<\/p>\n

The reality is that the immediate results of the coming midterms are likely to consolidate fascist GOP rule more so than to undermine it. Note I didn’t say that the GOP would win the midterms. To focus on the midterms as if they are yet another election, operating under the standard rules of a functioning electoral democracy, and the parties competing in them are normal political parties, is to miss entirely the reality of the situation.<\/p>\n

The fascists in power at the Federal level (and many state and local levels) believe elections to be illegitimate unless they win them. This is established fact. To hypothesize that they will for some reason act differently this time is to contravene Rule No. 1. (What just happened to Massie and Cornyn, dear liberals?) There is no better GOP.<\/p>\n

When they lose the vote in November (as, in all likelihood, they will), they will not concede defeat. They will claim the results are illegitimate, and will cheat to stay in power. Vote counts in fascist-controlled swing areas will suspiciously change in favour of the fascists in ways that will seem very familiar to anyone with knowledge of how other banana republics operate. Court challenges that threaten the fascists will be slow-walked. Ones that favour the fascists will be given special express treatment. New precedents will be constructed out of whole cloth as needed. The mass media will be subject to politically-motivated persecution if they harp on these issues. In many cases, the persecution will be theoretical and there will be no shortage of compliance in advance.<\/p>\n

In response, the Democrats will in general be meek and conciliatory. Because of course they will. Rule No. 2. Sure, there will be some noteworthy exceptions. But the overall pattern, the one that dominates, the one that produces the overall net result, will be as described.<\/p>\n

At that point, Rule No. 3 will come into play. Here, the outlook becomes decidedly less bleak. It doesn’t take any belief in a different, better electorate to get Minneapolis-style resistance to fascism. The electorate we actually have has proven itself capable of such resistance. It has also, of course, proven itself capable of acquiescence. So resistance is not a given, but it is definitely plausible.<\/p>\n

If Minneapolis-style resistance to fascism erupts nationwide, there is real hope. It could even end up reforming the Democratic Party. Not because of any firm moral principles amongst its leadership, simply because of the principle of political opportunism, the ability to sense which way the political wind is starting to below, the desire to hitch their wagon to a rising star. And that would be fine. It would not be the first time in history a political party claimed for itself and for electoral politics a victory whose roots were in direct action. Demanding that a necessary process happen only for the purest of motives (and via the purest of tactics) is an unrealistic expectation.<\/p>\n

Anyhow, that, and not false hopes of both major parties acting contrary to their amply-demonstrated norms of behaviour, is where my hope lies.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Most liberals are positively giddy about Trump’s current low numbers in the opinion polls and what that means for the coming midterms. In doing so, they overlook the reality of the current situation. They overlook the three rules. The reality is that the immediate results of the coming midterms are likely to consolidate fascist GOP […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6938","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6938","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6938"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6938\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6939,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6938\/revisions\/6939"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6938"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6938"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6938"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}