{"id":5188,"date":"2021-08-06T21:59:22","date_gmt":"2021-08-07T04:59:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=5188"},"modified":"2021-08-06T23:03:48","modified_gmt":"2021-08-07T06:03:48","slug":"beware-junk-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=5188","title":{"rendered":"Beware Misrepresented Data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>There are plenty of graphics like the following one circulating on social media:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/risk_of_eviction.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"798\" height=\"438\" src=\"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/risk_of_eviction.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-5189\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/risk_of_eviction.png 798w, https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/risk_of_eviction-300x165.png 300w, https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/risk_of_eviction-768x422.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 798px) 100vw, 798px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>If true, such statistics are shocking. A significant number of major cities where over half of households face eviction? That&#8217;s a major, major social crisis in the works! And the source is a US Census survey, not some dubious polling outfit one has never heard of.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Turns out, not nearly so much. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data-tools\/demo\/hhp\/#\/?measures=EVICTFOR\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data-tools\/demo\/hhp\/#\/?measures=EVICTFOR\">Here<\/a> is the actual household pulse survey data from the US Census Bureau. Note the caption: &#8220;<em>Percentage of adults living in households not current on rent or mortgage<\/em> where eviction or foreclosure in the next two months is either very likely or somewhat likely [emphasis added].&#8221; Not the percentage of all adults, just the percentage who are already behind. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data-tools\/demo\/hhp\/#\/?measures=HINSEC\">Here<\/a> is a related set of data showing those who are behind and have little hope of ever catching up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take Mississippi, one of the worst states, for example. 12.3% of adults live in households that are behind, and of that number, 60.5% are at risk of eviction. The actual fraction of adults in the overall population at risk is therefore more like 60.5% of 12.3%, or 7.4%. That&#8217;s still not an insignificant number, but it is far less than 60.5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>There are plenty of graphics like the following one circulating on social media: If true, such statistics are shocking. A significant number of major cities where over half of households face eviction? That&#8217;s a major, major social crisis in the works! And the source is a US Census survey, not some dubious polling outfit one [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5188","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5188"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5188\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5188"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5188"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5188"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}