{"id":3821,"date":"2018-11-01T07:48:39","date_gmt":"2018-11-01T14:48:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=3821"},"modified":"2018-11-01T08:15:33","modified_gmt":"2018-11-01T15:15:33","slug":"1933-or-1914","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=3821","title":{"rendered":"1933 or 1914?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tom Nichols recently <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RadioFreeTom\/status\/1057680145232904193\">tweeted<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I just visited the World War I museum in #KansasCity and it filled me with dread, because I feel like we\u2019re in danger of heading toward another disaster fueled by ignorant nationalism. I have always been less worried about a reply [sic] of 1933 than about a mad rerun of July 1914.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>First, when people talk about history repeating itself, they don&#8217;t mean that entire complex scenarios literally go into a scene-by-scene replay. Nobody named Adolf Hitler is going to be appointed chancellor of Germany, repudiate the Versailles sanctions, rearm, and start a new war. No archduke is going to be assassinated in Sarajevo and trigger a series of complex, interlocking, secret mutual defense pacts into touching off a world war. When &#8220;history repeats itself&#8221; it happens via a theme happening again in a different context, not as a whole complex context replaying itself.<\/p>\n<p>Second, there&#8217;s a false dichotomy here: it&#8217;s not either\/or. The resurgence of fascism is a real thing, as are the attacks on the multilateral internatonal institutions that emerged after World War II (fascism is nationalistic and opposed to that order). It&#8217;s entirely possible that we could be headed for a repeat of <em>both<\/em> 1914 <em>and<\/em> 1933. In fact, if we get a repeat of 1914, it will probably also involve the 1933 elements.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tom Nichols recently tweeted: I just visited the World War I museum in #KansasCity and it filled me with dread, because I feel like we\u2019re in danger of heading toward another disaster fueled by ignorant nationalism. I have always been less worried about a reply [sic] of 1933 than about a mad rerun of July [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3821","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3821"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3821\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3821"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3821"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3821"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}