{"id":2622,"date":"2017-08-02T10:06:24","date_gmt":"2017-08-02T17:06:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=2622"},"modified":"2017-08-02T10:08:25","modified_gmt":"2017-08-02T17:08:25","slug":"russia-reset-kompromat-etc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=2622","title":{"rendered":"Russia Reset, Kompromat, Etc."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>First, Trump&#8217;s Russia Reset is Dead<\/h2>\n<p>Trump&#8217;s possibly treasonous Russia collusion backfired, bigly. It was too galling even for most members of today&#8217;s Republican Party. With its sanctions bill, Congress has hobbled Trump with respect to Russia.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s somewhat surprising that Trump didn&#8217;t decide to force the issue with a (doomed) veto. He&#8217;s certainly immature and short-tempered enough to do just such a thing. His handlers probably had to argue with him quite a bit to get him to acknowledge the inevitable, and accept today&#8217;s humiliation of having to sign a hated bill into law rather than tomorrow&#8217;s humiliation of an overwhelming veto override.<\/p>\n<h2>Onward to a New Cold War?<\/h2>\n<p>In the short term, definitely. Even through the medium term, quite likely. That really sucks, but with the successful (and unrepentant) Russian interference in the US (and other nations&#8217;) political systems, non-sucky immediate-term outcomes simply don&#8217;t seem possible.<\/p>\n<p>Of the sucky outcomes possible, a new Cold War seems to me the least sucky. It exerts consequences on the Putin regime, whose domestic economy is quite weak already and which was counting on a Russia reset in the West to end sanctions, create domestic economic growth, and boost the regime&#8217;s popularity.<\/p>\n<p>Now all Putin gets is a short-term opportunity to rally Russians around the flag while he copes with a long-term set of economic constraints that will act to undermine his regime&#8217;s popularity.<\/p>\n<h2>Karma Has Bitten the West, Too<\/h2>\n<p>Don&#8217;t think Russia is the only nation hoisted by its own petard for interfering with other nations&#8217; politics. The West interfered with Russian politics in a huge way by backing Yeltsin&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/newrepublic.com\/article\/114945\/two-russians-walk-parliamentary-crisis\">1993 coup<\/a> against Russia&#8217;s constitutional government. That coup created the imperial presidency that Yeltsin&#8217;s successor Putin used to create the dictatorship that ended up destabilizing the USA and other Western nations.<\/p>\n<h2>Kompromat? Probably None of That<\/h2>\n<p>It&#8217;s becoming increasingly clear that the alleged (and it was always <em>alleged;<\/em> there never was any hard evidence of it) extreme dirt Putin had on Trump probably doesn&#8217;t exist. US\/Russia relations are now totally in the doghouse, so Russia has every possible reason imaginable to retaliate against Trump with every diplomatic weapon in its arsenal. If it doesn&#8217;t come out in the next week or two, it&#8217;s safe to conclude the <em>kompromat<\/em> simply doesn&#8217;t exist at all.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>First, Trump&#8217;s Russia Reset is Dead Trump&#8217;s possibly treasonous Russia collusion backfired, bigly. It was too galling even for most members of today&#8217;s Republican Party. With its sanctions bill, Congress has hobbled Trump with respect to Russia. It&#8217;s somewhat surprising that Trump didn&#8217;t decide to force the issue with a (doomed) veto. He&#8217;s certainly immature [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2622","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2622","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2622"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2622\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2622"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2622"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2622"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}