{"id":2205,"date":"2016-07-22T08:15:26","date_gmt":"2016-07-22T15:15:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=2205"},"modified":"2016-07-22T08:16:25","modified_gmt":"2016-07-22T15:16:25","slug":"trump-may-win-but-probably-wont","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/?p=2205","title":{"rendered":"Trump May Win (But Probably Won&#8217;t)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s big speech last night was <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2016\/07\/21\/politics\/gop-convention-speeches-fact-check\/index.html\">full of lies and half-truths,<\/a> but:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>That&#8217;s only to be expected in a major party political speech, particularly in a right-wing candidate&#8217;s speech, and especially in a Trump speech.<\/li>\n<li>It was, regardless of truth value, very polished and on-message.<\/li>\n<li>As such, the guy has a real chance of winning if he stays on that message.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>However, that final point is an extremely big <em>if.<\/em> Donald Trump has a well-established reputation of having very little self-control over what he says. I doubt the leopard can change his spots.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Trump&#8217;s big speech last night was full of lies and half-truths, but: That&#8217;s only to be expected in a major party political speech, particularly in a right-wing candidate&#8217;s speech, and especially in a Trump speech. It was, regardless of truth value, very polished and on-message. As such, the guy has a real chance of winning [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2205","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2205","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2205"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2205\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2205"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2205"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blackcap.name\/blog\/new\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2205"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}